MATH 1040 - Introduction to Statistics

19.2 Practice Problem 3

Practice

  1. A university researcher surveys a random sample of 180 students and finds that 63 report experiencing high levels of stress during finals week. Construct a 90% confidence interval for the true proportion of students who experience high stress during finals week.

Step 1: Verify the Central Limit Theorem

Find the sample proportion and its complement:

\[\hat{p} = \frac{x}{n} = \frac{63}{180} = 0.35 \qquad \hat{q} = 1 - \hat{p} = 0.65\]

The Central Limit Theorem applies. We can continue.

Step 2: Find the Critical Value

For a 90% confidence level, the remaining 10% is in the tails, with 5% in each tail. As we saw in Lesson 18.1 Critical Values, the critical value for a 90% confidence level is $z_c = \pm 1.645$.

Step 3: Find the Margin of Error

\[\begin{align*} E &= z_c\sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}\hat{q}}{n}} \\ &= 1.645\sqrt{\frac{(0.35)(0.65)}{180}} \\ &= 1.645\sqrt{\frac{0.2275}{180}} \\ &= 1.645 \times 0.03555 \\ &\approx 0.058 \end{align*}\]

Step 4: Find the Confidence Interval

\[\hat{p} + E = 0.35 + 0.058 = 0.408\] \[\hat{p} - E = 0.35 - 0.058 = 0.292\]

The confidence interval is \((0.292,\ 0.408)\).

Step 5: Interpret the Confidence Interval

We are 90% confident that the true proportion of students who experience high levels of stress during finals week is between 0.292 and 0.408 (between 29.2% and 40.8%).

Return back to Lesson 19.2